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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Spiel ·

FC Basel vs Barcelona

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–23.01 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg17%
Unentschieden17%
Auswärtssieg66%
Market-based forecastAuswärtssiegTier B · 66% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg66% selection probability
Projected score1–2FC BaselBarcelona
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über59% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
17% / 17% / 66%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Basel win (17%)Doppelte ChanceX283%1.20
Über 59% · Unter 41%Goals 2.5Über59%1.69
Ja 59% · Nein 41%Beide Teams treffenJa59%1.69
3.01 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
8.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Basel win17%5.886.0014.9%
Unentschieden17%5.885.5016.3%
Barcelona win66%1.521.3068.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Basel1.11

Heim share of expected goals 36.9%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 59% · Unter 41%

Barcelona1.90

Auswärts share of expected goals 63.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 59% · Nein 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FC Basel

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Barcelona

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
66%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.11
Expected goals
1.90
FC BaselBarcelona
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Basel signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barcelona signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FC Basel vs Barcelona FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Basel Gewinn 17%,Unentschieden 17%,Barcelona Gewinn 66%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Über 2.5 59% · Current selection Über