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INT Türkiye 1 Lig · Fixture ·

Mardin 1969 vs Antalyaspor

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.85 expected goals
Away form
Home win46%
Draw24%
Away win29%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mardin 1969Antalyaspor
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 24% / 29%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Double chance1275.5%1.32
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.85 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Mardin 1969 win46%2.17
Draw24%4.17
Antalyaspor win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mardin 19691.62

Home share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Antalyaspor1.23

Away share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Mardin 1969

1.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn1Losses0Points1

SignalHome unbeaten 1/1

Away-context · form sequence

Antalyaspor

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.62
Expected goals
1.23
Mardin 1969Antalyaspor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mardin 1969 signalHome unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Antalyaspor signalAway clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mardin 1969 vs Antalyaspor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mardin 1969 win 46%,Draw 24%,Antalyaspor win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over