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SAU Saudi Arabia Cup · Final ·

Al Wahda Mecca vs Al Shabab Riyadh

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–1Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win37%
Draw26%
Away win37%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 37% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al Wahda MeccaAl Shabab Riyadh
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 26% / 37%Match resultHome win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Double chance1273.7%1.36
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.63 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Al Wahda Mecca win37%2.70
Draw26%3.85
Al Shabab Riyadh win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Wahda Mecca1.32

Home share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Al Shabab Riyadh1.31

Away share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Al Wahda Mecca

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Away-context · form sequence

Al Shabab Riyadh

1.33pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Points4

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
0
Points from supplied form
4
1.32
Expected goals
1.31
Al Wahda MeccaAl Shabab Riyadh
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Wahda Mecca signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Shabab Riyadh signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Al Wahda Mecca vs Al Shabab Riyadh FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Wahda Mecca win 37%,Draw 26%,Al Shabab Riyadh win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under