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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Caldas SC vs Lusitano GC Evora

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win32%
Draw33%
Away win34%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 34% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win34% selection probability
Projected score1–1Caldas SCLusitano GC Evora
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 33% / 34%Match resultAway win34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Caldas SC win (32.2%)Double chanceX267.8%1.47
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Yes 38% · No 62%Both teams scoreNo62%1.61
1.88 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Caldas SC win32%3.13
Draw33%3.03
Lusitano GC Evora win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caldas SC0.91

Home share of expected goals 48.4%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%

Lusitano GC Evora0.97

Away share of expected goals 51.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Caldas SC

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Lusitano GC Evora

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
2
Points from supplied form
9
0.91
Expected goals
0.97
Caldas SCLusitano GC Evora
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caldas SC signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lusitano GC Evora signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Caldas SC vs Lusitano GC Evora FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caldas SC win 32%,Draw 33%,Lusitano GC Evora win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under