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MLT Malta Premier League · Round 1 ·

Sliema Wanderers vs Hibernians

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.49 expected goals
Away form
Home win46%
Draw29%
Away win25%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sliema WanderersHibernians
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 29% / 25%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hibernians win (25.3%)Double chance1X74.7%1.34
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.49 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sliema Wanderers win46%2.17
Draw29%3.45
Hibernians win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sliema Wanderers1.56

Home share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Hibernians0.93

Away share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sliema Wanderers

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Hibernians

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.56
Expected goals
0.93
Sliema WanderersHibernians
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sliema Wanderers signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hibernians signalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sliema Wanderers vs Hibernians FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sliema Wanderers win 46%,Draw 29%,Hibernians win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under