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INT Mexico Liga MX U19 · Fixture ·

Tijuana U19 vs Cruz Azul U19

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.27 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw26%
Away win24%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Tijuana U19Cruz Azul U19
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 26% / 24%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cruz Azul U19 win (24.1%)Double chance1X75.9%1.32
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.27 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapCruz Azul U19 winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tijuana U19 win49%2.041.8548.6%+0.4 pp
Draw26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
Cruz Azul U19 win24%4.173.6025%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tijuana U191.58

Home share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Cruz Azul U190.69

Away share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Tijuana U19

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Cruz Azul U19

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
12
Points from supplied form
8
1.58
Expected goals
0.69
Tijuana U19Cruz Azul U19
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tijuana U19 signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cruz Azul U19 signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Tijuana U19 vs Cruz Azul U19 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tijuana U19 win 49%,Draw 26%,Cruz Azul U19 win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under