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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Fixture ·

Sao Paulo U20 vs Ibrachina U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.95 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw27%
Away win29%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sao Paulo U20Ibrachina U20
Expected goals1.95Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under69% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 27% / 29%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Double chance1273.1%1.37
Over 31% · Under 69%Goals 2.5Under69%1.45
Yes 39% · No 61%Both teams scoreNo61%1.64
1.95 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapSao Paulo U20 winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sao Paulo U20 win44%2.272.0044.8%-0.8 pp
Draw27%3.703.4026.3%+0.7 pp
Ibrachina U20 win29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sao Paulo U200.94

Home share of expected goals 48.2%

Total expected goals1.95Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 31% · Under 69%

Ibrachina U201.01

Away share of expected goals 51.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 39% · No 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sao Paulo U20

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ibrachina U20

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
12
0.94
Expected goals
1.01
Sao Paulo U20Ibrachina U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sao Paulo U20 signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ibrachina U20 signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Sao Paulo U20 vs Ibrachina U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sao Paulo U20 win 44%,Draw 27%,Ibrachina U20 win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.95 · Over 2.5 31% · Current selection Under