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INT Czechia First League · Fixture ·

Sparta Prague vs Slavia Prague

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.36 expected goals
Away form
Home win36%
Draw27%
Away win37%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win37% selection probability
Projected score2–2Sparta PragueSlavia Prague
Expected goals3.36Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 27% / 37%Match resultAway win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Double chance1273.4%1.36
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.36 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapSparta Prague winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sparta Prague win36%2.782.5036.6%-0.6 pp
Draw27%3.703.4026.9%+0.1 pp
Slavia Prague win37%2.702.5036.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sparta Prague1.54

Home share of expected goals 45.8%

Total expected goals3.36Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Slavia Prague1.82

Away share of expected goals 54.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sparta Prague

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Slavia Prague

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
9
Points from supplied form
11
1.54
Expected goals
1.82
Sparta PragueSlavia Prague
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sparta Prague signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Slavia Prague signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Sparta Prague vs Slavia Prague FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sparta Prague win 36%,Draw 27%,Slavia Prague win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over