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INT Czechia First League · Fixture ·

Banik Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Away form
Home win37%
Draw28%
Away win36%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Banik OstravaSigma Olomouc
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 28% / 36%Match resultHome win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Double chance1272.3%1.38
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.36 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapSigma Olomouc winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Banik Ostrava win37%2.702.4037.9%-0.9 pp
Draw28%3.573.3027.6%+0.4 pp
Sigma Olomouc win36%2.782.6334.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Banik Ostrava0.93

Home share of expected goals 39.4%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

Sigma Olomouc1.43

Away share of expected goals 60.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Banik Ostrava

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sigma Olomouc

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.93
Expected goals
1.43
Banik OstravaSigma Olomouc
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Banik Ostrava signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sigma Olomouc signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Banik Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Banik Ostrava win 37%,Draw 28%,Sigma Olomouc win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under