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GTM Guatemala Primera Division · Fixture ·

Coatepeque FC vs Juventud Copalera

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–02.01 expected goals
Away form
Home win53%
Draw26%
Away win20%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win53% selection probability
Projected score2–0Coatepeque FCJuventud Copalera
Expected goals2.01Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 26% / 20%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Juventud Copalera win (20.2%)Double chance1X79.8%1.25
Over 33% · Under 67%Goals 2.5Under67%1.49
Yes 28% · No 72%Both teams scoreNo72%1.39
2.01 total expected goalsCorrect score2–0
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapJuventud Copalera winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Coatepeque FC win53%1.891.7352.1%+0.9 pp
Draw26%3.853.4026.5%-0.5 pp
Juventud Copalera win20%5.004.2021.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Coatepeque FC1.58

Home share of expected goals 78.6%

Total expected goals2.01Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 33% · Under 67%

Juventud Copalera0.43

Away share of expected goals 21.4%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitYes 28% · No 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Coatepeque FC

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Juventud Copalera

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Win probability excluding draw
20%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.58
Expected goals
0.43
Coatepeque FCJuventud Copalera
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Coatepeque FC signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Juventud Copalera signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Coatepeque FC vs Juventud Copalera FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–0 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Coatepeque FC win 53%,Draw 26%,Juventud Copalera win 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.01 · Over 2.5 33% · Current selection Under