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GTM Guatemala Primera Division · Fixture ·

Deportivo Iztapa vs Chichicasteco FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Away form
Home win62%
Draw22%
Away win17%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportivo IztapaChichicasteco FC
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
62% / 22% / 17%Match resultHome win62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chichicasteco FC win (16.9%)Double chance1X83.1%1.20
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 39% · No 61%Both teams scoreNo61%1.64
2.72 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapDeportivo Iztapa winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Iztapa win62%1.611.4860.4%+1.6 pp
Draw22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp
Chichicasteco FC win17%5.885.0017.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Iztapa2.13

Home share of expected goals 78.3%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Chichicasteco FC0.59

Away share of expected goals 21.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 39% · No 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Deportivo Iztapa

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Chichicasteco FC

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Win probability excluding draw
17%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.13
Expected goals
0.59
Deportivo IztapaChichicasteco FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Iztapa signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chichicasteco FC signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Deportivo Iztapa vs Chichicasteco FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Iztapa win 62%,Draw 22%,Chichicasteco FC win 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over