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SLB Solomon Islands S League · Fixture ·

Southern United vs Marist FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw24%
Away win33%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Southern UnitedMarist FC
Expected goals3.11Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 24% / 33%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.6%)Double chance1276.4%1.31
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.11 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Southern United win44%2.272.0543.8%
Draw24%4.173.8023.6%
Marist FC win33%3.032.7532.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Southern United1.68

Home share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals3.11Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Marist FC1.43

Away share of expected goals 46%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Southern United

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Marist FC

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.68
Expected goals
1.43
Southern UnitedMarist FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Southern United signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Marist FC signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Southern United vs Marist FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Southern United win 44%,Draw 24%,Marist FC win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over