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LVA Latvia Virsliga · Fixture ·

FS Jelgava vs FK Auda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Away form
Home win28%
Draw26%
Away win47%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win47% selection probability
Projected score1–1FS JelgavaFK Auda
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 26% / 47%Match resultAway win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Double chance1274.3%1.35
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapFS Jelgava winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FS Jelgava win28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
FK Auda win47%2.131.9047%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FS Jelgava1.14

Home share of expected goals 44.7%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

FK Auda1.41

Away share of expected goals 55.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FS Jelgava

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

FK Auda

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Win probability excluding draw
47%
3
Points from supplied form
8
1.14
Expected goals
1.41
FS JelgavaFK Auda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FS Jelgava signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Auda signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FS Jelgava vs FK Auda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FS Jelgava win 28%,Draw 26%,FK Auda win 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under