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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Fixture ·

Sporting Kristina vs VPV Pallo-Veikot

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.21 expected goals
Away form
Home win50%
Draw22%
Away win28%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sporting KristinaVPV Pallo-Veikot
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 22% / 28%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.5%)Double chance1277.5%1.29
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.21 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting Kristina win50%2.001.8050%0.0 pp
Draw22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
VPV Pallo-Veikot win28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting Kristina1.28

Home share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

VPV Pallo-Veikot0.93

Away share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sporting Kristina

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

VPV Pallo-Veikot

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.28
Expected goals
0.93
Sporting KristinaVPV Pallo-Veikot
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting Kristina signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02VPV Pallo-Veikot signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Sporting Kristina vs VPV Pallo-Veikot FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting Kristina win 50%,Draw 22%,VPV Pallo-Veikot win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under