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INT Mexico Liga MX U19 Femenil · Fixture ·

Necaxa U19 (W) vs Tigres UANL U19 (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.55 expected goals
Away form
Home win26%
Draw26%
Away win49%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Necaxa U19 (W)Tigres UANL U19 (W)
Expected goals3.55Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over69% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes66% for the selected side
Expected corners7.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
26% / 26% / 49%Match resultAway win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Double chance1274.5%1.34
Over 69% · Under 31%Goals 2.5Over69%1.45
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.55 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
7.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapNecaxa U19 (W) winDifference+2.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Necaxa U19 (W) win26%3.853.7523.7%+2.3 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.4%+0.6 pp
Tigres UANL U19 (W) win49%2.041.7550.8%-1.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Necaxa U19 (W)2.22

Home share of expected goals 62.5%

Total expected goals3.55Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 69% · Under 31%

Tigres UANL U19 (W)1.33

Away share of expected goals 37.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Necaxa U19 (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Tigres UANL U19 (W)

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Win probability excluding draw
49%
4
Points from supplied form
10
2.22
Expected goals
1.33
Necaxa U19 (W)Tigres UANL U19 (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Necaxa U19 (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tigres UANL U19 (W) signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Necaxa U19 (W) vs Tigres UANL U19 (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Necaxa U19 (W) win 26%,Draw 26%,Tigres UANL U19 (W) win 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.55 · Over 2.5 69% · Current selection Over