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INT Mexico Liga MX U19 · Fixture ·

Tijuana U19 vs Leon U19

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.50 expected goals
Away form
Home win50%
Draw26%
Away win24%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Tijuana U19Leon U19
Expected goals3.50Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 26% / 24%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Leon U19 win (24.4%)Double chance1X75.6%1.32
Over 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Over68%1.47
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.50 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapTijuana U19 winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tijuana U19 win50%2.001.8348.9%+1.1 pp
Draw26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Leon U19 win24%4.173.6024.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tijuana U192.29

Home share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals3.50Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 68% · Under 32%

Leon U191.21

Away share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Tijuana U19

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Leon U19

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
12
Points from supplied form
6
2.29
Expected goals
1.21
Tijuana U19Leon U19
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tijuana U19 signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leon U19 signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Tijuana U19 vs Leon U19 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tijuana U19 win 50%,Draw 26%,Leon U19 win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.50 · Over 2.5 68% · Current selection Over