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COL Colombia Liga Femenina · Fixture ·

Deportivo Cali (W) vs Millonarios (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.59 expected goals
Away form
Home win45%
Draw30%
Away win25%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo Cali (W)Millonarios (W)
Expected goals1.59Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under78% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo71% for the selected side
Expected corners7.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 30% / 25%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Millonarios (W) win (25.1%)Double chance1X74.9%1.34
Over 22% · Under 78%Goals 2.5Under78%1.28
Yes 29% · No 71%Both teams scoreNo71%1.41
1.59 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
7.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapMillonarios (W) winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Cali (W) win45%2.222.0044.7%+0.3 pp
Draw30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
Millonarios (W) win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Cali (W)1.00

Home share of expected goals 62.9%

Total expected goals1.59Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 22% · Under 78%

Millonarios (W)0.59

Away share of expected goals 37.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 29% · No 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Deportivo Cali (W)

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Millonarios (W)

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
15
Points from supplied form
11
1.00
Expected goals
0.59
Deportivo Cali (W)Millonarios (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Cali (W) signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Millonarios (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Deportivo Cali (W) vs Millonarios (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Cali (W) win 45%,Draw 30%,Millonarios (W) win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.59 · Over 2.5 22% · Current selection Under