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COL Colombia Liga Femenina · Fixture ·

Llaneros (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score0–33.36 expected goals
Away form
Home win6%
Draw15%
Away win79%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 79% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win79% selection probability
Projected score0–3Llaneros (W)Atletico Nacional (W)
Expected goals3.36Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo63% for the selected side
Expected corners7.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
6% / 15% / 79%Match resultAway win79%1.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Llaneros (W) win (5.9%)Double chanceX294.1%1.06
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 37% · No 63%Both teams scoreNo63%1.59
3.36 total expected goalsCorrect score0–3
7.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapAtletico Nacional (W) winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Llaneros (W) win6%16.6715.006.1%-0.1 pp
Draw15%6.676.0015.3%-0.3 pp
Atletico Nacional (W) win79%1.271.1778.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Llaneros (W)0.49

Home share of expected goals 14.6%

Total expected goals3.36Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Atletico Nacional (W)2.87

Away share of expected goals 85.4%

Projected score0–3BTTS splitYes 37% · No 63%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Llaneros (W)

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Atletico Nacional (W)

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
6%
Win probability excluding draw
79%
1
Points from supplied form
12
0.49
Expected goals
2.87
Llaneros (W)Atletico Nacional (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Llaneros (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Nacional (W) signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk21% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Llaneros (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 0–3 · 79% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Llaneros (W) win 6%,Draw 15%,Atletico Nacional (W) win 79%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over