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La Nucia vs Alcoyano

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.23 expected goals
Away form
Home win36%
Draw26%
Away win38%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win38% selection probability
Projected score2–2La NuciaAlcoyano
Expected goals3.23Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 26% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Double chance1273.9%1.35
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.23 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
7.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
La Nucia win36%2.782.5535.3%
Draw26%3.853.4026.5%
Alcoyano win38%2.632.3538.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

La Nucia1.64

Home share of expected goals 50.8%

Total expected goals3.23Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Alcoyano1.59

Away share of expected goals 49.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

La Nucia

3.00pts / match
Played2Wins2Drawn0Losses0Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 2/2

Away-context · form sequence

Alcoyano

1.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn1Losses0Points1

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
38%
6
Points from supplied form
1
1.64
Expected goals
1.59
La NuciaAlcoyano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01La Nucia signalHome unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alcoyano signalHome clean sheets: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

La Nucia vs Alcoyano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

La Nucia win 36%,Draw 26%,Alcoyano win 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over