Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 27% / 30%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Double chance1273%1.37
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Galatasaray win43%2.332.1042.6%—
Draw27%3.703.2527.5%—
Villarreal win30%3.333.0029.8%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 54.6%
Total expected goals3.24Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%
Away share of expected goals 45.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchGalatasaray
DLLLW
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchVillarreal
WLWLL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Win probability excluding draw
30%4
Points from supplied form
61.77
Expected goals
1.47GalatasarayVillarreal
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Galatasaray vs Villarreal FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Galatasaray win 43%，Draw 27%，Villarreal win 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.24 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over。