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Leganes vs Tenerife

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.24 expected goals
Away form
Home win41%
Draw27%
Away win33%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win41% selection probability
Projected score2–2LeganesTenerife
Expected goals3.24Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 27% / 33%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Double chance1273.2%1.37
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
7.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leganes win41%2.442.2540%
Draw27%3.703.3027.3%
Tenerife win33%3.032.7532.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leganes1.73

Home share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals3.24Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Tenerife1.51

Away share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Leganes

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Tenerife

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.73
Expected goals
1.51
LeganesTenerife
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leganes signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tenerife signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Leganes vs Tenerife FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leganes win 41%,Draw 27%,Tenerife win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over