Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
26% / 24% / 50%Match resultAway win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.4%)Double chance1275.6%1.32
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Livorno win26%3.853.8023.7%—
Draw24%4.173.7024.3%—
Empoli win50%2.001.7352%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 44.4%
Total expected goals3.24Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%
Away share of expected goals 55.6%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchLivorno
W
Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3
SignalHome unbeaten 1/1
Away-context · form sequence
1.25pts / matchEmpoli
DWLD
Played4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Points5
SignalNo recent signal
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
26%
Win probability excluding draw
50%3
Points from supplied form
51.44
Expected goals
1.80LivornoEmpoli
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Livorno vs Empoli FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Livorno win 26%，Draw 24%，Empoli win 50%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.24 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over。