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INT Chile Primera Division Women · Fixture ·

Santiago Wanderers (W) vs Deportes Iquique (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.62 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw28%
Away win38%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago Wanderers (W)Deportes Iquique (W)
Expected goals1.62Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under78% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo69% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 28% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Double chance1271.8%1.39
Over 22% · Under 78%Goals 2.5Under78%1.28
Yes 31% · No 69%Both teams scoreNo69%1.45
1.62 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
7.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santiago Wanderers (W) win34%2.942.6334.1%-0.1 pp
Draw28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp
Deportes Iquique (W) win38%2.632.3538.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Wanderers (W)0.85

Home share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals1.62Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 22% · Under 78%

Deportes Iquique (W)0.77

Away share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Santiago Wanderers (W)

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Deportes Iquique (W)

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
38%
5
Points from supplied form
7
0.85
Expected goals
0.77
Santiago Wanderers (W)Deportes Iquique (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Wanderers (W) signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportes Iquique (W) signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Santiago Wanderers (W) vs Deportes Iquique (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Wanderers (W) win 34%,Draw 28%,Deportes Iquique (W) win 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.62 · Over 2.5 22% · Current selection Under