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CHL Chile Primera B · Round 18 ·

Deportes Temuco vs Magallanes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.97 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw27%
Away win30%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportes TemucoMagallanes
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 27% / 30%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Double chance1272.7%1.38
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.97 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
11.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Deportes Temuco win43%2.33
Draw27%3.70
Magallanes win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportes Temuco1.72

Home share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

Magallanes1.25

Away share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Deportes Temuco

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Magallanes

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.72
Expected goals
1.25
Deportes TemucoMagallanes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportes Temuco signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Magallanes signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Deportes Temuco vs Magallanes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportes Temuco win 43%,Draw 27%,Magallanes win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over