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CHL Chile Primera B · Round 18 ·

Cobreloa vs Deportes Iquique

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.55 expected goals
Away form
Home win52%
Draw25%
Away win23%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win52% selection probability
Projected score2–1CobreloaDeportes Iquique
Expected goals3.55Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over69% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
52% / 25% / 23%Match resultHome win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportes Iquique win (22.6%)Double chance1X77.4%1.29
Over 69% · Under 31%Goals 2.5Over69%1.45
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.55 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapCobreloa winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cobreloa win52%1.921.8050.6%+1.4 pp
Draw25%4.003.5026%-1.0 pp
Deportes Iquique win23%4.353.9023.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cobreloa2.45

Home share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals3.55Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 69% · Under 31%

Deportes Iquique1.10

Away share of expected goals 31%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Cobreloa

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Deportes Iquique

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
6
2.45
Expected goals
1.10
CobreloaDeportes Iquique
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cobreloa signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportes Iquique signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Cobreloa vs Deportes Iquique FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cobreloa win 52%,Draw 25%,Deportes Iquique win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.55 · Over 2.5 69% · Current selection Over