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INT Brazil Campeonato Carioca U20 · Fixture ·

Nova Iguacu U20 vs Fluminense U20

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.57 expected goals
Away form
Home win17%
Draw23%
Away win59%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 59% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win59% selection probability
Projected score1–2Nova Iguacu U20Fluminense U20
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
17% / 23% / 59%Match resultAway win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nova Iguacu U20 win (17.1%)Double chanceX282.9%1.21
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.57 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nova Iguacu U20 win17%5.886.0015%
Draw23%4.354.0022.5%
Fluminense U20 win59%1.691.4462.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nova Iguacu U200.97

Home share of expected goals 37.7%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Fluminense U201.60

Away share of expected goals 62.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Nova Iguacu U20

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Fluminense U20

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Win probability excluding draw
59%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.97
Expected goals
1.60
Nova Iguacu U20Fluminense U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nova Iguacu U20 signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fluminense U20 signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Nova Iguacu U20 vs Fluminense U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nova Iguacu U20 win 17%,Draw 23%,Fluminense U20 win 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under