MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Fixture ·

FK Minija vs FK BE1

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.96 expected goals
Away form
Home win58%
Draw24%
Away win17%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win58% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK MinijaFK BE1
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
58% / 24% / 17%Match resultHome win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK BE1 win (17.4%)Double chance1X82.6%1.21
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.96 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FK Minija win58%1.72
Draw24%4.17
FK BE1 win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Minija2.18

Home share of expected goals 73.6%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

FK BE10.78

Away share of expected goals 26.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Minija

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FK BE1

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Win probability excluding draw
17%
12
Points from supplied form
6
2.18
Expected goals
0.78
FK MinijaFK BE1
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Minija signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK BE1 signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FK Minija vs FK BE1 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Minija win 58%,Draw 24%,FK BE1 win 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over