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INT Brazil Campeonato Catarinense U20 · Fixture ·

Chapecoense U20 vs Criciuma U20

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.92 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw26%
Away win34%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score2–1Chapecoense U20Criciuma U20
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 26% / 34%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Double chance1273.7%1.36
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.92 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chapecoense U20 win40%2.502.3039.2%
Draw26%3.853.4026.5%
Criciuma U20 win34%2.942.6334.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chapecoense U201.54

Home share of expected goals 52.7%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Criciuma U201.38

Away share of expected goals 47.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Chapecoense U20

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Criciuma U20

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
9
Points from supplied form
13
1.54
Expected goals
1.38
Chapecoense U20Criciuma U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chapecoense U20 signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Criciuma U20 signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Chapecoense U20 vs Criciuma U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chapecoense U20 win 40%,Draw 26%,Criciuma U20 win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over