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INT Brazil Campeonato Capixaba B · Fixture ·

Pinheiros vs EC Tupy

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.79 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw25%
Away win41%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1PinheirosEC Tupy
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0No corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 25% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Double chance1274.8%1.34
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.79 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
0.0 expected match cornersCornersNo corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pinheiros win34%2.942.7532.9%
Draw25%4.003.6025.1%
EC Tupy win41%2.442.1542%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pinheiros1.36

Home share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

EC Tupy1.43

Away share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Pinheiros

3.00pts / match
Played2Wins2Drawn0Losses0Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 2/2

Away-context · form sequence

EC Tupy

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
6
Points from supplied form
0
1.36
Expected goals
1.43
PinheirosEC Tupy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pinheiros signalHome unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02EC Tupy signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Pinheiros vs EC Tupy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pinheiros win 34%,Draw 25%,EC Tupy win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over