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CHN China Division 2 · Fixture ·

Shenzhen 2028 vs Ganzhou Ruishi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.49 expected goals
Away form
Home win70%
Draw20%
Away win10%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win70% selection probability
Projected score1–1Shenzhen 2028Ganzhou Ruishi
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
70% / 20% / 10%Match resultHome win70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ganzhou Ruishi win (9.9%)Double chance1X90.1%1.11
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapShenzhen 2028 winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shenzhen 2028 win70%1.431.2572%-2.0 pp
Draw20%5.004.7519%+1.0 pp
Ganzhou Ruishi win10%10.0010.009%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shenzhen 20281.49

Home share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Ganzhou Ruishi1.00

Away share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Shenzhen 2028

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ganzhou Ruishi

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Win probability excluding draw
10%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.49
Expected goals
1.00
Shenzhen 2028Ganzhou Ruishi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shenzhen 2028 signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ganzhou Ruishi signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Shenzhen 2028 vs Ganzhou Ruishi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shenzhen 2028 win 70%,Draw 20%,Ganzhou Ruishi win 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under