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CHN China Division 2 · Fixture ·

Beijing Institute vs Shanghai Segenda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.14 expected goals
Away form
Home win24%
Draw28%
Away win48%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win48% selection probability
Projected score2–2Beijing InstituteShanghai Segenda
Expected goals3.14Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
24% / 28% / 48%Match resultAway win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Beijing Institute win (24.2%)Double chanceX275.8%1.32
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.14 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapBeijing Institute winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Beijing Institute win24%4.173.9023.1%+0.9 pp
Draw28%3.573.2028.2%-0.2 pp
Shanghai Segenda win48%2.081.8548.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Beijing Institute1.59

Home share of expected goals 50.6%

Total expected goals3.14Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Shanghai Segenda1.55

Away share of expected goals 49.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Beijing Institute

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Shanghai Segenda

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Win probability excluding draw
48%
0
Points from supplied form
3
1.59
Expected goals
1.55
Beijing InstituteShanghai Segenda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Beijing Institute signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shanghai Segenda signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Beijing Institute vs Shanghai Segenda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Beijing Institute win 24%,Draw 28%,Shanghai Segenda win 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over