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AFR Africa Cup of Nations Women · Fixture ·

Morocco (W) vs South Africa (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.70 expected goals
Away form
Home win53%
Draw27%
Away win20%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Morocco (W)South Africa (W)
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners7.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 27% / 20%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes South Africa (W) win (19.8%)Double chance1X80.2%1.25
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.70 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
7.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Morocco (W) win53%1.891.6753.8%
Draw27%3.703.3027.2%
South Africa (W) win20%5.004.7518.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Morocco (W)1.67

Home share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

South Africa (W)1.03

Away share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Morocco (W)

2.33pts / match
Played3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Points7

SignalHome unbeaten 3/3

Away-context · form sequence

South Africa (W)

1.00pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Points3

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Win probability excluding draw
20%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.67
Expected goals
1.03
Morocco (W)South Africa (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Morocco (W) signalHome unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02South Africa (W) signalHome clean sheets: 3/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Morocco (W) vs South Africa (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Morocco (W) win 53%,Draw 27%,South Africa (W) win 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over