Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
74% / 17% / 10%Match resultHome win74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Marumo Gallants win (9.8%)Double chance1X90.2%1.11
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 33% · No 67%Both teams scoreNo67%1.49
3.21 total expected goalsCorrect score3–0——
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapMamelodi Sundowns winDifference+1.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mamelodi Sundowns win74%1.351.2572.2%+1.8 pp
Draw17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp
Marumo Gallants win10%10.008.5010.6%-0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 86.6%
Total expected goals3.21Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%
Away share of expected goals 13.4%
Projected score3–0BTTS splitYes 33% · No 67%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchMamelodi Sundowns
DWLWD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchMarumo Gallants
LDDDD
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
74%
Win probability excluding draw
10%8
Points from supplied form
42.78
Expected goals
0.43Mamelodi SundownsMarumo Gallants
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.
Match questions
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–0 · 74% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Mamelodi Sundowns win 74%，Draw 17%，Marumo Gallants win 10%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.21 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over。