Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 28% / 29%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Double chance1272.1%1.39
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.78 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Louisville City FC win43%2.33
Draw28%3.57
San Antonio FC win29%3.45
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 58.3%
Total expected goals2.78Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%
Away share of expected goals 41.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchLouisville City FC
LWLWD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSan Antonio FC
WWLDW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Win probability excluding draw
29%7
Points from supplied form
101.62
Expected goals
1.16Louisville City FCSan Antonio FC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Louisville City FC vs San Antonio FC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Louisville City FC win 43%，Draw 28%，San Antonio FC win 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.78 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over。