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USA USA USL Championship · Spiel ·

Louisville City FC vs San Antonio FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.78 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg43%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg29%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Louisville City FCSan Antonio FC
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
43% / 28% / 29%SpielergebnisHeimsieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Doppelte Chance1272.1%1.39
Über 53% · Unter 47%Goals 2.5Über53%1.89
Ja 55% · Nein 45%Beide Teams treffenJa55%1.82
2.78 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Louisville City FC win43%2.33
Unentschieden28%3.57
San Antonio FC win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Louisville City FC1.62

Heim share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 53% · Unter 47%

San Antonio FC1.16

Auswärts share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nein 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Louisville City FC

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

San Antonio FC

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.62
Expected goals
1.16
Louisville City FCSan Antonio FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Louisville City FC signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Antonio FC signalHeim unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Louisville City FC vs San Antonio FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Louisville City FC Gewinn 43%,Unentschieden 28%,San Antonio FC Gewinn 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Über 2.5 53% · Current selection Über