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ARM Armenia Premier League · Round 1 ·

Ararat Yerevan vs Sardarapat FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw28%
Away win43%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ararat YerevanSardarapat FC
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 28% / 43%Match resultAway win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Double chance1272.4%1.38
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ararat Yerevan win30%3.333.2528%
Draw28%3.573.3027.6%
Sardarapat FC win43%2.332.0544.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ararat Yerevan1.22

Home share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Sardarapat FC1.35

Away share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ararat Yerevan

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sardarapat FC

3.00pts / match
Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.22
Expected goals
1.35
Ararat YerevanSardarapat FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ararat Yerevan signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sardarapat FC signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Ararat Yerevan vs Sardarapat FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ararat Yerevan win 30%,Draw 28%,Sardarapat FC win 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under