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ARM アルメニア プレミアリーグ · Round 1 ·

アララトエレバン vs Sardarapat FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利30%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利43%
Market-based forecastアウェイ勝利Tier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利43% selection probability
Projected score1–1アララトエレバンSardarapat FC
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
30% / 28% / 43%試合結果アウェイ勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)ダブルチャンス1272.4%1.38
オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%Goals 2.5アンダー53%1.89
はい 53% · いいえ 47%両チーム得点はい53%1.89
2.57 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アララトエレバン win30%3.333.2528%
引き分け28%3.573.3027.6%
Sardarapat FC win43%2.332.0544.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アララトエレバン1.22

ホーム share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%

Sardarapat FC1.35

アウェイ share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 53% · いいえ 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アララトエレバン

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

Sardarapat FC

3.00pts / match
試合数1Wins1Drawn0Losses0ポイント3

Signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
勝ち probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.22
Expected goals
1.35
アララトエレバンSardarapat FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アララトエレバン signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sardarapat FC signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

アララトエレバン vs Sardarapat FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アララトエレバン 勝ち 30%,引き分け 28%,Sardarapat FC 勝ち 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · オーバー 2.5 47% · Current selection アンダー