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ARM Armenia Premier League · Round 1 ·

Ararat Yerevan vs Sardarapat FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg30%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg43%
Market-based forecastAuswärtssiegTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ararat YerevanSardarapat FC
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
30% / 28% / 43%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Doppelte Chance1272.4%1.38
Über 47% · Unter 53%Goals 2.5Unter53%1.89
Ja 53% · Nein 47%Beide Teams treffenJa53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ararat Yerevan win30%3.333.2528%
Unentschieden28%3.573.3027.6%
Sardarapat FC win43%2.332.0544.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ararat Yerevan1.22

Heim share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 47% · Unter 53%

Sardarapat FC1.35

Auswärts share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nein 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Ararat Yerevan

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Sardarapat FC

3.00pts / match
Gespielt1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Punkte3

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.22
Expected goals
1.35
Ararat YerevanSardarapat FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ararat Yerevan signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sardarapat FC signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Ararat Yerevan vs Sardarapat FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ararat Yerevan Gewinn 30%,Unentschieden 28%,Sardarapat FC Gewinn 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Über 2.5 47% · Current selection Unter