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INT Australia NPL Queensland Women · Fixture ·

Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.99 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw25%
Away win26%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Gold Coast Knights (W)Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Expected goals1.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 25% / 26%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Double chance1275.2%1.33
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Yes 39% · No 61%Both teams scoreNo61%1.64
1.99 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gold Coast Knights (W) win49%2.041.8349.2%-0.2 pp
Draw25%4.003.7024.3%+0.7 pp
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) win26%3.853.4026.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gold Coast Knights (W)1.21

Home share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals1.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)0.78

Away share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 39% · No 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Gold Coast Knights (W)

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.21
Expected goals
0.78
Gold Coast Knights (W)Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gold Coast Knights (W) signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gold Coast Knights (W) win 49%,Draw 25%,Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) win 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.99 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under