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INT Australia NPL Queensland Women · Final ·

Lions FC (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–0Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win68%
Draw19%
Away win13%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 68% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win68% selection probability
Projected score2–1Lions FC (W)Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Expected goals3.06Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
68% / 19% / 13%Match resultHome win68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) win (12.9%)Double chance1X87.1%1.15
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
3.06 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapSunshine Coast Wanderers (W) winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lions FC (W) win68%1.471.3368%0.0 pp
Draw19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) win13%7.697.0012.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lions FC (W)2.21

Home share of expected goals 72.2%

Total expected goals3.06Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)0.85

Away share of expected goals 27.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Lions FC (W)

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Win probability excluding draw
13%
15
Points from supplied form
9
2.21
Expected goals
0.85
Lions FC (W)Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lions FC (W) signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Lions FC (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lions FC (W) win 68%,Draw 19%,Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) win 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over