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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Fixture ·

Tanabi U20 vs Palmeiras U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score0–44.07 expected goals
Away form
Home win7%
Draw10%
Away win83%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 83% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win83% selection probability
Projected score0–4Tanabi U20Palmeiras U20
Expected goals4.07Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over77% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
7% / 10% / 83%Match resultAway win83%1.20
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tanabi U20 win (7.4%)Double chanceX292.6%1.08
Over 77% · Under 23%Goals 2.5Over77%1.30
Yes 36% · No 64%Both teams scoreNo64%1.56
4.07 total expected goalsCorrect score0–4
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.7%Largest probability gapPalmeiras U20 winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tanabi U20 win7%14.2911.008.4%-1.4 pp
Draw10%10.009.0010.2%-0.2 pp
Palmeiras U20 win83%1.201.1381.4%+1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tanabi U200.46

Home share of expected goals 11.3%

Total expected goals4.07Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 77% · Under 23%

Palmeiras U203.61

Away share of expected goals 88.7%

Projected score0–4BTTS splitYes 36% · No 64%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Tanabi U20

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Palmeiras U20

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Win probability excluding draw
83%
3
Points from supplied form
8
0.46
Expected goals
3.61
Tanabi U20Palmeiras U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tanabi U20 signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Palmeiras U20 signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk17% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 10%.

Match questions

Tanabi U20 vs Palmeiras U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 0–4 · 83% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tanabi U20 win 7%,Draw 10%,Palmeiras U20 win 83%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.07 · Over 2.5 77% · Current selection Over