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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Fixture ·

SC Paulinense U20 vs Ibrachina U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.68 expected goals
Away form
Home win17%
Draw20%
Away win63%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win63% selection probability
Projected score1–2SC Paulinense U20Ibrachina U20
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
17% / 20% / 63%Match resultAway win63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SC Paulinense U20 win (16.8%)Double chanceX283.2%1.20
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Yes 37% · No 63%Both teams scoreNo63%1.59
2.68 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapIbrachina U20 winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Paulinense U20 win17%5.885.0017.8%-0.8 pp
Draw20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
Ibrachina U20 win63%1.591.4561.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Paulinense U200.54

Home share of expected goals 20.1%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Ibrachina U202.14

Away share of expected goals 79.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 37% · No 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

SC Paulinense U20

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ibrachina U20

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Win probability excluding draw
63%
7
Points from supplied form
15
0.54
Expected goals
2.14
SC Paulinense U20Ibrachina U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Paulinense U20 signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ibrachina U20 signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

SC Paulinense U20 vs Ibrachina U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Paulinense U20 win 17%,Draw 20%,Ibrachina U20 win 63%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over