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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Fixture ·

EC Sao Bernardo U20 vs Osasco Sporting U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.88 expected goals
Away form
Home win33%
Draw27%
Away win39%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1EC Sao Bernardo U20Osasco Sporting U20
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 27% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Double chance1272.6%1.38
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Yes 36% · No 64%Both teams scoreNo64%1.56
1.88 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapEC Sao Bernardo U20 winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
EC Sao Bernardo U20 win33%3.032.6034.3%-1.3 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp
Osasco Sporting U20 win39%2.562.3038.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

EC Sao Bernardo U200.71

Home share of expected goals 37.8%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%

Osasco Sporting U201.17

Away share of expected goals 62.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 36% · No 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

EC Sao Bernardo U20

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Osasco Sporting U20

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
1
Points from supplied form
8
0.71
Expected goals
1.17
EC Sao Bernardo U20Osasco Sporting U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01EC Sao Bernardo U20 signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Osasco Sporting U20 signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

EC Sao Bernardo U20 vs Osasco Sporting U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

EC Sao Bernardo U20 win 33%,Draw 27%,Osasco Sporting U20 win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under