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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Fixture ·

Ituano U20 vs Bragantino U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–33.78 expected goals
Away form
Home win13%
Draw17%
Away win70%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win70% selection probability
Projected score1–3Ituano U20Bragantino U20
Expected goals3.78Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over73% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
13% / 17% / 70%Match resultAway win70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ituano U20 win (12.9%)Double chanceX287.1%1.15
Over 73% · Under 27%Goals 2.5Over73%1.37
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
3.78 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapBragantino U20 winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ituano U20 win13%7.696.5013.7%-0.7 pp
Draw17%5.885.0017.8%-0.8 pp
Bragantino U20 win70%1.431.3068.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ituano U200.74

Home share of expected goals 19.6%

Total expected goals3.78Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 73% · Under 27%

Bragantino U203.04

Away share of expected goals 80.4%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ituano U20

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Bragantino U20

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
13%
Win probability excluding draw
70%
4
Points from supplied form
15
0.74
Expected goals
3.04
Ituano U20Bragantino U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ituano U20 signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bragantino U20 signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Ituano U20 vs Bragantino U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ituano U20 win 13%,Draw 17%,Bragantino U20 win 70%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.78 · Over 2.5 73% · Current selection Over