Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 20% / 22%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.4%)Double chance1279.6%1.26
Over 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Over68%1.47
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
3.48 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapCove winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Adelaide Croatia Raiders win57%1.751.6255.5%+1.5 pp
Draw20%5.004.3320.8%-0.8 pp
Cove win22%4.553.8023.7%-1.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 75.9%
Total expected goals3.48Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 68% · Under 32%
Away share of expected goals 24.1%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchAdelaide Croatia Raiders
DWWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchCove
LLDDD
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
57%
Win probability excluding draw
22%13
Points from supplied form
32.64
Expected goals
0.84Adelaide Croatia RaidersCove
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.
Match questions
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Cove FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Adelaide Croatia Raiders win 57%，Draw 20%，Cove win 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.48 · Over 2.5 68% · Current selection Over。