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AUS Australie - South Australia State League 1 · Match ·

Adélaïde Croatia Raiders vs Cove

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–13.48 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile57%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur22%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile57% selection probability
Projected score3–1Adélaïde Croatia RaidersCove
Expected goals3.48Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de68% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
57% / 20% / 22%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.4%)Double chance1279.6%1.26
Plus de 68% · Moins de 32%Goals 2.5Plus de68%1.47
Oui 53% · Non 47%Les deux équipes marquentOui53%1.89
3.48 total expected goalsScore exact3–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapCove winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Adélaïde Croatia Raiders win57%1.751.6255.5%+1.5 pp
Nul20%5.004.3320.8%-0.8 pp
Cove win22%4.553.8023.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Adélaïde Croatia Raiders2.64

Domicile share of expected goals 75.9%

Total expected goals3.48Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 68% · Moins de 32%

Cove0.84

Extérieur share of expected goals 24.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitOui 53% · Non 47%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Adélaïde Croatia Raiders

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Cove

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gagné probability excluding draw
22%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.64
Expected goals
0.84
Adélaïde Croatia RaidersCove
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Adélaïde Croatia Raiders signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cove signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Adélaïde Croatia Raiders vs Cove FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Adélaïde Croatia Raiders victoire 57%,Nul 20%,Cove victoire 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · Plus de 2.5 68% · Current selection Plus de