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AUS Australia South Australia State League 1 · Final ·

Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Cove

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score4–2Előrejelzés 3–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem57%
Döntetlen20%
Vendég győzelem22%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction Nyert
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem57% selection probability
Projected score3–1Adelaide Croatia RaidersCove
Expected goals3.48Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett68% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
57% / 20% / 22%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.4%)Dupla esély1279.6%1.26
Felett 68% · Alatt 32%Goals 2.5Felett68%1.47
Igen 53% · Nem 47%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen53%1.89
3.48 total expected goalsPontos eredmény3–1
10.5 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapCove winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Adelaide Croatia Raiders win57%1.751.6255.5%+1.5 pp
Döntetlen20%5.004.3320.8%-0.8 pp
Cove win22%4.553.8023.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Adelaide Croatia Raiders2.64

Hazai share of expected goals 75.9%

Total expected goals3.48Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 68% · Alatt 32%

Cove0.84

Vendég share of expected goals 24.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitIgen 53% · Nem 47%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Adelaide Croatia Raiders

2.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontok13

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Cove

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontok3

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Nyert probability excluding draw
22%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.64
Expected goals
0.84
Adelaide Croatia RaidersCove
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Adelaide Croatia Raiders signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cove signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Cove FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Adelaide Croatia Raiders nyer 57%,Döntetlen 20%,Cove nyer 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · 2.5 felett 68% · Current selection Felett