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INT Bolivia Primera Division · Fixture ·

Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario De Vinto

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Away form
Home win61%
Draw22%
Away win17%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Oriente PetroleroUniversitario De Vinto
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
61% / 22% / 17%Match resultHome win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Universitario De Vinto win (17%)Double chance1X83%1.20
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.83 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapOriente Petrolero winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Oriente Petrolero win61%1.641.5360.1%+0.9 pp
Draw22%4.554.1022.4%-0.4 pp
Universitario De Vinto win17%5.885.2517.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Oriente Petrolero2.08

Home share of expected goals 73.5%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Universitario De Vinto0.75

Away share of expected goals 26.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Oriente Petrolero

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Universitario De Vinto

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Win probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
1
2.08
Expected goals
0.75
Oriente PetroleroUniversitario De Vinto
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Oriente Petrolero signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Universitario De Vinto signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario De Vinto FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Oriente Petrolero win 61%,Draw 22%,Universitario De Vinto win 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over