Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
56% / 25% / 19%Match resultHome win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente Petrolero win (19.4%)Double chance1X80.6%1.24
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
3.07 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
The Strongest win56%1.79
Draw25%4.00
Independiente Petrolero win19%5.26
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 71%
Total expected goals3.07Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%
Away share of expected goals 29%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchThe Strongest
WWDDW
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchIndependiente Petrolero
DWLLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
56%
Win probability excluding draw
19%11
Points from supplied form
42.18
Expected goals
0.89The StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
The Strongest win 56%，Draw 25%，Independiente Petrolero win 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.07 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over。