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SVK Slovakia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

MSK Zilina vs KFC Komarno

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.06 expected goals
Away form
Home win55%
Draw26%
Away win19%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win55% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSK ZilinaKFC Komarno
Expected goals3.06Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 26% / 19%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KFC Komarno win (19.3%)Double chance1X80.7%1.24
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
3.06 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapMSK Zilina winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSK Zilina win55%1.821.7354.2%+0.8 pp
Draw26%3.853.6026%0.0 pp
KFC Komarno win19%5.264.7519.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Zilina2.14

Home share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals3.06Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

KFC Komarno0.92

Away share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

MSK Zilina

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

KFC Komarno

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Win probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
5
2.14
Expected goals
0.92
MSK ZilinaKFC Komarno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Zilina signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KFC Komarno signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

MSK Zilina vs KFC Komarno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Zilina win 55%,Draw 26%,KFC Komarno win 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over